CN · Field Manual
MANUAL 02 · GRADING CEILINGS, NOT RATINGS
Learn the system / Manual 02

Weakest-link grading,
worked.

~6 minExample: CLM-6a6b7e456bdbc1b7Seven dimensions
HIGHEvidence is consistent, direct, well-designed, and adequately reported.
MODERATEReal evidence with known limits — direction is reliable, magnitude less so.
LOWEvidence exists but has material weaknesses. Treat as preliminary.
VERY_LOWAny estimate is uncertain. The claim is documented, not established.
GRADE LADDER — CEILING VOCABULARY, SHARED ACROSS ALL 48 SHEETS

The rule in one sentence

A claim's grade is the minimum of its seven basis dimensions — never the average, never the maximum. One weak dimension caps the whole claim. This is the opposite of how most evidence products grade: they score strengths and let volume of studies carry confidence. Here, 39 studies cannot lift a claim past a VERY_LOW confidence dimension.

Why ceilings and not averages

Averaging rewards bad evidence when it's plentiful. A meta-analysis sitting on poorly-reported trials would grade HIGH on volume alone. Under weakest-link rules, the claim cannot out-read its weakest assessed dimension — the grade is the most the data can honestly support, not the most the field happens to have produced. Graders who disagree can't inflate; they can only fail to submit.

The worked example

Below is the actual basis grid of a released turmeric claim (CLM-6a6b7e456bdbc1b7). Design evidence is HIGH — randomized and observational designs are bound. But extraction confidence is VERY_LOW: too little verified extraction detail survives audit. The ceiling lands on the weakest cell.

DIMENSION
ASSESSED
WHAT IT MEASURES
Design
HIGH
Bound study designs — RCT, cohort, in-vitro, meta-analysis mix.
Consistency
MODERATE
Direction agreement across bound studies; heterogeneity present.
Numeric
MODERATE
358 observations in sheet; interval coverage partial on this claim.
Methodology
LOW
RoB assessments returned INSUFFICIENT_INFORMATION on bound studies.
Directness
LOW
Population/model applicability to the asserted relation is indirect.
Extraction
LOW
Extracted values pass format checks; verification depth is limited.
Confidence
VERY_LOW ← weakest
Reporting detail insufficient to raise confidence; the ceiling binds here.
Bound studies
39
Volume does not lift the ceiling — it documents, it does not rescue.
RESULT — PUBLISHED CLAIM GRADE VERY_LOW

What this means for a buyer

You can trust the label. A VERY_LOW grade is not a shrug — it is an audited statement that the evidence, as it exists and as it was reported, cannot support more. Products that grade everything HIGH are telling you about their marketing. A ceiling tells you where the honest edge of knowledge sits — which is the information a formulation, dossier, or regulatory team actually needs.

← Manual 01 — Reading a claim Manual 03 — Verify it yourself →